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Tuesday, July 24, 2007

Fred's Still Ahead In Rasmussen Poll 7/23

Fred! 26% - Giuliani 21%

On the surface, the race for the Republican nomination appears to have stabilized in recent weeks. Former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson has enjoyed a consistent but very slight advantage over former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani in Rasmussen Reports polling. Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and Arizona Senator John McCain have roughly half the support of the frontrunners as they battle for third place and nobody else has gained any traction.

But the stability is misleading and the race for the Republican Presidential nomination is wide open.

Currently, nearly half of Likely Republican Primary Voters either express a preference for an unannounced candidate (Thompson) or say that they are not sure how they will vote. All of those votes could be in play when Thompson formally enters the race and is forced to submit to the grind of debates, questions, and events being endured by the other candidates. If the man who walked away from the Senate is deemed to be acceptable, many of those undecided voters will probably push Thompson to an even bigger lead.